Burundi’s GDP growth is set to ease from 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 due to weak domestic demand and increased military spending. A recovery is expected in 2026 with growth projected at 4.5%, driven by better agricultural conditions.
Burundi’s real GDP growth is anticipated to decline from an estimated 2.2% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025. This slight decrease is primarily attributed to muted domestic demand as rising headwinds impact private consumption. Furthermore, an increase in military spending is expected to detract from growth-producing government consumption.
Looking forward to 2026, we forecast a rebound in growth to 4.5%. This anticipated rise is linked to improved agricultural conditions, which should alleviate domestic price pressures and foster an increase in private consumption.
This analysis has been provided by BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, and does not reflect any comments from Fitch Ratings. Any data or comments are derived solely from BMI and its independent sources.
Burundi’s GDP growth is forecasted to decline mildly in 2025 due to weak domestic demand and increased military expenditure. However, we expect a significant recovery in 2026 as agricultural improvements take effect, leading to heightened private consumption and a projected growth rate of 4.5%.
Original Source: www.fitchsolutions.com
