The Hass Avocado Board and Cirad’s report forecasts a slowdown in Peruvian avocado plantings over the next five years, influenced by various socioeconomic and climatic factors. While profitability has declined, strategic recommendations for enhanced yields and new plantings remain positive amidst challenges.
The Hass Avocado Board and Cirad have collaborated to project future avocado production in key U.S. supplying countries. This partnership aims to assist investors and industry members in strategically planning their marketing efforts. Initially launched in 2019, this project assessed the avocado markets of Peru, Mexico, California, Chile, and Colombia, revisiting the findings to evaluate market changes and trends through 2030.
From 2019 to 2022, avocado cultivation in Peru experienced consistent growth; however, a marked slowdown in new plantings was observed afterward. By 2024, the estimated area for avocado cultivation will be 76,750 hectares, with major regions being Olmos, Chavimochic, Lima Valleys, and Sierra.
The regions of Olmos and Chavimochic have encountered a decline in planting rates due to factors such as lower profitability, water shortages, extreme weather, and disappointing yields. Olmos suffers from these profitability and climatic challenges, while Chavimochic grapples with costly land, market saturation, and competition from crops like blueberries.
In contrast, the Lima Valleys and Sierra regions are growing at a slower rate. To address these shifts, the report outlines that several socioeconomic, climatic, and political influences have impacted the Peruvian avocado sector over the past five years. Factors include rising production costs, poor yields, competitive pressures from the EU market, and political instability.
Despite the anticipated slowdown, the report notes that new avocado plantings are likely to remain positive. Recommended strategies for improving avocado productivity involve replanting with suitable rootstocks to tackle climate change and salinity, alongside advanced technical management practices to enhance overall yields.
The report from the Hass Avocado Board and Cirad underscores the expectation of a slowdown in avocado plantings in Peru over the next five years due to various economic and environmental challenges. While growth may decelerate, the potential for new plantings remains positive if appropriate strategies are employed to improve productivity and resilience against competing crops.
Original Source: www.freshfruitportal.com
