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Egypt’s Strategic Approach to the US Gaza Plan Amid Regional Divisions

Cairo’s strategic response to Trump’s Gaza plan involves a multi-step approach, engaging Arab and US officials to mitigate the implications of absorbing Gazan refugees. Regional summits highlighted divisions among Arab leaders, particularly the reluctance of UAE and Saudi Arabia to support Egypt’s position. Egypt continues to advocate for a reconstruction plan, facing hurdles from traditional alliances and ongoing US hindrances.

Egypt’s strategic response to the US Gaza Riviera plan proposed by President Trump involves a calculated multi-stage approach to mitigate regional instability. This controversial plan expects Egypt and Jordan to absorb a significant number of Gazan refugees, placing pressure primarily on Jordan, while Cairo seeks to forge an alternative strategy that balances various stakeholder interests.

The initial step taken by Egypt involved a mini-summit on February 21, attended by important regional leaders including Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and Jordan’s King Abdullah II. The meeting aimed to coordinate responses to Trump’s plan and assess regional readiness to resist US pressure, signaling a united Arab front.

Following this, an unofficial delegation of seasoned Egyptian diplomats was dispatched to Washington on February 26. Their objective was to engage with US officials and modify the Trump administration’s plans for Gaza, using their understanding of American policymaking to navigate potential adjustments to Egypt’s long-term strategy.

As tensions escalated, Egypt convened a critical emergency Arab summit on March 4. However, the absence of key leadership from the UAE and Saudi Arabia showcased underlying rifts, prominently highlighting their reluctance to align with Egypt’s agenda without significant concessions, indicating deep-seated divisions within the Arab bloc.

The no-show of the UAE’s Mohammed bin Zayed (MbZ) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) illustrated a significant divide, hinting at their discontent with Egypt’s position and potential refusal to grant unconditional support. Reports suggest MbS is open to allowing limited refugee absorption but opposes Hamas’s presence, contrasting sharply with Egypt’s strategy of retaining a controlled, non-political influence of Hamas in Gaza.

In the background, US officials have been actively engaging with Middle Eastern leaders, offering incentives while pressing for alignment with Trump’s vision. Notably, the Palestinian Authority (PA) was entirely absent from the Riyadh summit, as disagreements stifled any unified approach to frameworks involving Hamas that Qatar sought to introduce, further complicating the negotiations.

The Cairo emergency summit faced a challenging atmosphere rife with diplomatic tensions and unresolved issues, failing to present clear pathways forward. While discussions aimed at addressing significant humanitarian concerns, the potential for mass displacement cast a long shadow over collaborative efforts.

Furthermore, Algeria’s participation and stance reflected its dissatisfaction with being sidelined from significant discussions, hinting at further complications within the Arab response to the crisis. Tensions with Egypt over its traditional role in mediating Palestinian affairs also came to light, illustrating the multifaceted nature of regional politics.

While Egypt pushed its vision for Gaza, PA President Mahmoud Abbas proposed a contrasting plan centered on restoring PA control over Gaza. His efforts fell flat, however, as both Egyptian and UAE representatives dismissed his ideas as outdated and unfeasible due to the PA’s past governance failures in Gaza.

Amidst this, Egypt’s high-stakes visit to Washington sought to energize support for its strategy involving traditional influence and financial backing. However, the US response indicated persistent concerns about Hamas and a lack of firm commitments from Arab nations that would likely underpin any reconstruction initiatives in Gaza.

To maintain momentum, Egypt suggested World Bank oversight of the reconstruction funds to assure transparency, hoping to secure financial support crucial for rebuilding Gaza. Nevertheless, with shifting US priorities and ongoing discussions involving Hamas that raise the stakes further, Egypt faces substantial obstacles moving forward.

Cairo’s determination to navigate this complex landscape signals continued engagement, though significant collaboration with new allies may be necessary as it confronts traditional opposition. The future of Gaza’s reconstruction hinges on Egypt’s ability to foster consensus amid intricate regional dynamics and external influences.

Egypt’s response to the US proposal concerning Gaza involves complex strategic maneuvers in the face of internal Arab divisions and external pressures. Initiatives through high-level summits and negotiations aim to build regional consensus, yet significant challenges persist with Gulf states’ reluctance and US priorities that complicate Egypt’s objectives. The future of the Gaza reconstruction plan hinges on Egypt’s capacity to maintain engagement and seek broader international support amid shifting political dynamics.

Original Source: thecradle.co

Lila Khan

Lila Khan is an acclaimed journalist with over a decade of experience covering social issues and international relations. Born and raised in Toronto, Ontario, she has a Master's degree in Global Affairs from the University of Toronto. Lila has worked for prominent publications, and her investigative pieces have earned her multiple awards. Her insightful analysis and compelling storytelling make her a respected voice in contemporary journalism.

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