Recent military advances by Sudanese Armed Forces suggest a potential shift in the ongoing war against the Rapid Support Forces. The humanitarian crisis deepens as millions face displacement and food insecurity. Sanctions from the US mark a critical international response, yet doubts about their effectiveness linger. Future dynamics depend on regional support and leadership strategies as the conflict approaches its second anniversary.
Recent military advances by the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Khartoum and Omdurman suggest a shift in the ongoing Sudanese war. General Abdel-Fattah Burhan’s return to Khartoum marks the SAF’s regained momentum. The SAF’s recapture of Wad Madani, lost to the RSF in December 2023, symbolizes a critical turning point for public morale, as noted by researcher Hager Ali. This city, once pivotal as Sudan’s breadbasket, now bears significant damage and food insecurity issues due to the conflict.
As RSF fighters retreat to Darfur, where they control most districts, the conflict continues to escalate. Osman Mirghani from Al-Tayar newspaper highlights that El Fasher is now the focus of warfare, under siege since May 2024. The UN reports severe humanitarian crises in Darfur, with millions displaced and facing famine. The conflict, ignited in April 2023 over power struggles, has devastated civilian life, displacing over 12 million.
Humanitarian assessments call Sudan’s situation the largest crisis recorded, with over 30 million needing aid. UN High Commissioner Volker Turk condemned the recent escalation, mentioning tragic incidents of civilian casualties caused by the RSF. The RSF has denied wrongdoing, shifting blame to the SAF, which indicates ongoing tensions and mistrust.
In response to escalating violence, the US imposed sanctions on both military leaders, marking a significant international intervention. Researchers warn that unless broader regional support is rallied against those fueling the conflict, sanctions may prove ineffective. The role of external powers, including sanctions on UAE-sourced support for RSF, is critical in influencing the conflict’s trajectory.
As the political landscape shifts with the potential return of Donald Trump, opinions are mixed on future US policy implications. Analysts like Leena Badri express doubts about sanctions alone swaying the generals towards peace, emphasizing a need for comprehensive strategies to address underlying issues. For the suffering population of Sudan, the immediate hope lies in halting military supply lines ahead of upcoming conflict anniversaries.
The Sudanese conflict began in April 2023 due to a power struggle between General Burhan and his former deputy, General Dagalo. The war has resulted in significant civilian deaths and widespread displacement. The RSF’s control over critical regions and their tactics have exacerbated humanitarian crises, demonstrating the dire situation faced by Sudanese citizens. As the situation progresses, the international community’s response, including US sanctions against military leaders, becomes crucial. With the onset of severe humanitarian needs across the nation, understanding the conflict’s background is essential for grasping the humanitarian implications and potential resolutions.
The military conflict in Sudan continues to escalate, with significant implications for civilians caught in the violence. As the SAF makes gains, the RSF retreats, but the humanitarian crisis deepens. International responses, particularly sanctions, may shape future developments, yet the effectiveness of these measures remains uncertain without broader regional cooperation. Continuing developments in Sudan will require close monitoring, especially as the second anniversary of the conflict approaches.
Original Source: www.dw.com
