Global conflicts, notably in the Middle East, are firming North Korea’s nuclear resolve, according to analysts. North Korea views its nuclear program as essential to its survival, learning lessons from the fates of leaders like Gaddafi and Hussein. For any chance of denuclearization talks, experts believe diplomacy must remain a possibility.
Global conflicts are seemingly reinforcing North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, particularly in light of current tensions in the Middle East and events in Ukraine. Analysts suggest that Pyongyang’s commitment to maintaining its nuclear arsenal is stronger than ever. This is largely motivated by the perceived lessons from the fates of other nations that abandoned their nuclear programs. Observers note that if diplomacy is to be revived regarding North Korea’s denuclearization, a strategic approach must keep channels open.
Despite the varied interpretations of North Korea’s perception of rising global conflicts, one sentiment prevails among many experts. This is centered on North Korea’s unwavering focus on its own survival. Koh Yu-hwan, a noted professor of North Korean studies, points out how history influences current policy. The regimes of Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi and Iraq’s Saddam Hussein serve as stark warnings for North Korea. In more straightforward terms, these cases exemplify the grave dangers of relinquishing nuclear arms.
Koh emphasizes, “North Korea has always pointed to the fate of Libya’s Muammar Gaddafi and Iraq’s Saddam Hussein as justification for never giving up its nuclear weapons.” He stresses that the North Korean leadership has clearly absorbed these lessons and seems to have concluded that maintaining its nuclear capability is essential to its longevity in power. According to him, this reinforces a mindset of prioritizing security above all else.
In summary, North Korea’s nuclear resolve continues to strengthen amidst global conflicts, especially with the backdrop of the Middle East and lessons from Ukraine. The leadership’s focus on survival, exemplified through historical precedents, shapes its policy decisions. To have any hopes of renewed talks on denuclearization, it’s crucial to maintain diplomatic channels open, even in the face of such hardened positions.
Original Source: www.scmp.com
