Al-Shabab is regaining territory in Somalia, especially in Middle and Lower Shabelle, raising concerns over the government’s ability to maintain control. Following an attack on President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s convoy, analysts note the group’s resurgence coincides with declining support from international partners. Some argue, however, that Al-Shabab still faces limitations in threatening Mogadishu directly.
Al-Shabab, a Somalia-based militia, is showing signs of resurgence by regaining control in strategic regions, notably near the capital, Mogadishu. This shift follows a period of military pressure by the Somali government and international allies that had previously pushed the group onto the defensive in 2022 and 2023. Analysts are concerned that weakened support from the U.S. and the African Union could lead to further gains for Al-Shabab.
In summary, Al-Shabab’s resurgence poses a significant challenge to the Somali government’s stability, particularly in light of diminishing international support. While some analysts believe the group is not an immediate threat to the capital, the current political climate, including unresolved clan grievances and instability around electoral reforms, may provide Al-Shabab with opportunities to exploit the situation. The need for cohesive government action remains critical to preventing further encroachment by militant forces.
Original Source: www.arabnews.com
