Tensions arise in Nigeria after President Bola Tinubu declares a state of emergency in Rivers State, suspending Governor Sim Fubara. Critics argue this move parallels military actions in Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, undermining democracy. The decision has drawn legal condemnation and raises fears about increased political instability and investor hesitancy in Nigeria’s economy.
The atmosphere in Nigeria is charged due to President Bola Tinubu’s recent declaration of a state of emergency in Rivers State, removing Governor Sim Fubara and others. This shocking move has led many to question whether Nigeria is following the military-led paths of Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, where democratic governments were similarly overthrown.
Legal experts, including the Nigerian Bar Association, have strongly criticized the president’s actions as illegal, arguing that suspending a democratically elected government escalates political instability. The president appointed retired Vice Admiral Ibok-Ete Ekwe Ibas as the interim administrator, a move perceived as undemocratic by critics.
Observers believe it is crucial for Nigeria to resolve internal political crises through dialogue rather than military intervention. There are concerns that these actions might legitimize the military’s usurpation of power in neighboring countries, undermining the very essence of democratic governance that Nigeria previously condemned in those nations.
Historically, Nigeria’s government had condemned the military coups in Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, asserting that these countries must transition back to civil rule. However, the juntas argue that the ousted civilian leaders had compromised their countries’ resources in favor of foreign interests, a sentiment echoed by their current governance decisions regarding mineral resources.
The military regimes have achieved significant economic gains after seizing control. For instance, Niger’s current administration has drastically increased revenue from its uranium resources by reclaiming control from foreign companies. In stark contrast to past leaders, this has resulted in unprecedented financial growth.
Following their suspensions, these countries had also announced their withdrawal from ECOWAS, emphasizing their newfound independence. Concerns, however, arise from Tinubu’s declaration of emergency, which may serve to disproportionately empower the federal government, potentially overriding the democratic actions that should stabilize Rivers State.
Despite the state’s emergency declaration intended to uphold peace, critics argue it may lead to further chaos. The lack of a balanced approach to the existing conflict has exacerbated tensions, marking a potential increase in political turmoil, which could deter foreign investments essential for economic recovery.
Some political figures, such as Senator Bennett Birabi, have warned that escalating crises in Rivers could lead to systemic failure, and the appointment of Vice Admiral Ibas does not assure effective governance. His capacity may be limited by lacking a full cabinet, raising concerns that his administration will not adequately address the needs of the Rivers’ populace.
Amid these tensions, a history of marginalization experienced by the Ijaw people in Rivers continues to fuel discontent. Although the region potentially benefits from its oil resources, leadership has largely favored other ethnic groups, leading to feelings of disenfranchisement among the Ijaw.
Past events underscore the gravity of political actions; previous conflicts led to significant damage to the oil production infrastructure. The removal of Fubara echoes chaotic circumstances seen in the 2005 political upheaval, which severely disrupted oil production due to subsequent violence.
Currently, Nigeria is in dire need of stable oil production. Recent attempts to recover from theft and low outputs cannot afford additional disruptions arising from political strife. The environment in Rivers poses a deterrent to potential investors wary of instability.
President Tinubu’s global investment efforts could fall short without a stable political environment. Investors gauge risk based on current and anticipated conditions, and the prevailing turmoil in Rivers indicates an unstable climate, diminishing the prospects for future foreign investment.
President Tinubu’s emergency declaration in Rivers State raises grave concerns about Nigeria’s democratic integrity and stability. Legal experts argue it sets a dangerous precedent akin to the military coups in Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso. Amid rising tensions from political conflict and historical marginalization in the region, Nigeria risks alienating foreign investors needed for economic recovery. Moving forward, effective resolution of internal crises through dialogue is imperative to bolster Nigeria’s democratic processes and economic prospects.
Original Source: businessday.ng
