The civil war in Sudan is intensifying as military forces regain control in Khartoum while the RSF establishes a parallel government. With significant casualties and displacement, the conflict may enter a new phase of division and ongoing violence, complicating any potential peace talks.
The ongoing civil war in Sudan, now nearing two years, has led to extensive casualties, displacing millions and causing widespread famine. As military forces reportedly regain control over key areas like Khartoum, the situation remains precarious with the opposing Rapid Support Forces (RSF) not acknowledging these losses. This article examines potential future developments in the conflict.
Since its outbreak in April 2023, the fighting has escalated dramatically, claiming at least 28,000 lives and displacing over 14 million people from their homes. Initially united in a coalition to oversee a transition to civilian rule after the 2019 popular uprising, the military and the RSF have devolved into violence for control, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis.
The military’s recent successes in Khartoum might signify a shift to a new phase of the war, effectively dividing Sudan into areas governed by military forces and the RSF. Despite territorial gains, military chief Gen. Abdel-Fattah Burhan has yet to indicate any willingness to pursue peace negotiations, while the RSF, led by Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, remains committed to continued conflict, particularly within regions like Darfur.
The RSF’s establishment of a ‘parallel government’ enhances tensions further. In February, they formalized a governance charter in Nairobi that promotes a democratic and decentralized state, which may lead to competing administrations. This development marks a step toward the possible entrenchment of Sudan’s division as both factions vie for influence amid their ongoing hostilities.
Historically rooted in the Janjaweed militia notorious for its atrocities in Darfur, the RSF is currently under scrutiny for alleged human rights violations, with international sanctions against Dagalo in response to accusations of genocide. The military likewise faces allegations of misconduct, complicating the possibility of conflict resolution. Therefore, both factions continue to challenge each other without signs of reconciliation, leading to continued instability in the region.
The civil war in Sudan showcases a complex struggle for power between the military and the RSF, leading to significant humanitarian consequences. The recent advancements by the military, coupled with the establishment of a parallel government by the RSF, foreshadow a prolonged and destructive phase of conflict that may deepen the division within the nation. Continued international scrutiny and potential diplomatic efforts remain vital to any future resolution.
Original Source: www.newsday.com
