The 2025 Oksenberg Symposium analyzed the changing strategic dynamics among China, Russia, India, and the U.S., focusing on the growing alignment between China and Russia and its implications for India and U.S. relations. Panelists discussed the complexities of these relationships, the impact of Trump’s foreign policy, and the challenges of maintaining global stability amidst rising tensions.
The Oksenberg Symposium 2025, titled “China’s Strategic Relationships,” analyzed the evolving dynamics among China, Russia, India, and the United States, three years post-Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Panelists highlighted continued coordination between China and Russia, despite an increased dependency of Russia on China. The U.S. under Trump’s administration has raised doubts about its reliability as a partner, impacting India’s geopolitical stance and response to ongoing tariffs and trade tensions.
The discussion featured experts such as Da Wei and Alex Gabuev, who explored how Russia and China align themselves militarily and economically, driven by mutual distrust of the West. Although China remains cautious regarding Russia’s actions, shared strategic interests bolster their partnership, particularly against NATO expansion. India’s positioning, however, involves a balancing act between enhancing ties with the U.S. while remaining wary of China’s military and economic influence in South Asia.
U.S.-China relations are under scrutiny as perceptions of a new Cold War arise. Trump’s administration characterized China as a strategic adversary, further complicating bilateral relations with tariffs and trade wars. China has focused on enhancing ties with Russia and balancing interests with India amid disputes, showing hesitance to fully back Russian actions. Nonetheless, recent stabilization in Sino-Indian relations indicates potential improvements.
Panelists noted that the competitive atmosphere among the four nations is reshaping the international order, culminating in a multipolar power landscape. The U.S. response, particularly Trump’s departure from traditional foreign policy and liberal internationalism, poses risks of isolation that could undermine U.S. influence in addressing global issues. This unresolved tension complicates the cohesion needed among major powers.
The Oksenberg Symposium highlighted the complexities of strategic alliances among China, Russia, India, and the U.S. The ongoing alignment between China and Russia presents challenges, while India navigates a precarious relationship with both. The evolving dynamics, particularly under Trump’s administration, reflect a shift towards isolationism in U.S. foreign policy that could impact its long-term global influence. As these nations grapple with their interests, fostering global stability remains a significant challenge.
Original Source: aparc.fsi.stanford.edu
