Tigray’s internal factional infighting raises fears of renewed conflict with Eritrea, following a devastating previous war. Analysts warn of the escalating tensions and the potential for a new war, fueled by political disputes and regional rivalries, despite earlier peace agreements. Urgent calls for dialogue and caution from embassies reflect the need to de-escalate the situation.
Recent internal conflict among factions in Ethiopia’s Tigray region has heightened fears of renewed war with Eritrea. Analysts and residents express concerns as the regional administrator seeks federal assistance due to power challenges from rival groups. A devastating war in Tigray between 2020 and 2022 led to an estimated 600,000 deaths, yet the peace agreement reached in November 2022 has not stabilized the region.
Tensions have worsened as disputes among local factions grow, with recent disagreements affecting relationships with Eritrea. The Ethiopian federal government appointed veteran politician Getachew Reda to lead an interim administration, but he faces challenges from Debretsion Gebremichael, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front leader. Local reports indicate increased unrest following Debretsion’s forces taking control of Adigrat, Tigray’s second-largest city.
Getachew accused ongoing factional conflicts of threatening a takeover in Tigray and has suspended three generals from the Tigray Defence Forces in response. Experts such as Kjetil Tronvoll warn that a new conflict between Eritrea and Ethiopia may be imminent, with a variety of factors contributing to rising tensions in the area.
The historical relations between Eritrea and Ethiopia have fluctuated greatly, marred by a violent war from 1998 to 2000 over territorial issues. Following Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s peace efforts in 2018 and a brief reopening of borders, relations have since deteriorated, with Eritrea accusing Ethiopia of aggression. Statements from numerous Western embassies emphasize the need for immediate dialogue to avert violence, while France has advised its citizens in Tigray to prepare for emergencies and avoid travel. Getachew’s government has requested aid, specifying that it does not seek military support.
The current situation in Tigray reflects a complex crisis with potential implications for broader regional stability, particularly concerning Eritrea. Despite earlier peace efforts, factional rivalries and deteriorating international relations may trigger renewed conflict. Ongoing calls for dialogue from Western embassies underscore the need for proactive measures to prevent further escalation in tensions in Tigray and with Eritrea.
Original Source: www.france24.com
