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Tajikistan’s Low Terrorism Threat and Rising Security Concerns in Eurasia

Tajikistan ranks 70th in the 2025 Global Terrorism Index with a low terrorism threat. The security situation in Eurasia has worsened, particularly in Russia, where attacks surged sharply. Ukraine’s ranking improved due to recent incidents. The GTI assesses global terrorism through four key criteria and informs about the most dangerous countries such as Burkina Faso and Pakistan.

Tajikistan has been ranked 70th out of 163 countries in the 2025 Global Terrorism Index (GTI) by the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP). This position classifies the country as having a low level of terrorist threat, situated in the “beige zone.” Similar standings are observed for Uzbekistan and Belarus, both at 90th place. The safest nations in the region include Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan, categorized in the “turquoise zone.”

Despite a few countries, like Tajikistan, maintaining low threat levels, the overall security landscape in Eurasia has deteriorated. There has been a substantial increase in the number of terrorist attacks and associated casualties. In Russia, terrorist incidents surged from 5 with 2 fatalities in 2023 to 13 attacks and 197 victims in 2024. The deadliest incident was the Crocus City Hall attack in Moscow, claimed by the Islamic State – Khorasan Province (IS-K).

Ukraine has also seen a rise in its GTI ranking, moving up 12 positions due to two incidents in 2024 that resulted in two fatalities. Overall, Eurasia experienced 18 terrorist attacks in 2024, leading to 199 deaths — the highest fatality rate since 2010.

According to the GTI, the countries deemed most dangerous regarding terrorism include Burkina Faso (8.5 points), Pakistan (8.3 points), and Syria (8.0 points). Other notable rankings are as follows: Russia (16th place, 6.2 points), Ukraine (45th place), the United States (34th place), and Germany (27th place).

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) provides a thorough evaluation of terrorist activity globally, created by a team of international experts associated with the Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) of the University of Sydney. The index assesses terrorism levels using four main criteria: number of terrorist incidents, fatalities, injuries, and level of material damage. Furthermore, it incorporates indirect factors related to the terrorism threat. Scores range from 0 to 10, where higher scores indicate greater terrorism impacts in a country, with those at the top of the list facing the most significant threats.

Tajikistan’s ranking of 70th in the GTI indicates a low threat level for terrorism, placing it in a safer category along with Uzbekistan and Belarus. However, the overall security situation in Eurasia is concerning, with a notable increase in terrorist violence, especially in Russia and Ukraine. The GTI serves as a critical tool for understanding global terrorism, ranking countries based on significant metrics.

Original Source: asiaplustj.info

Clara Lopez

Clara Lopez is an esteemed journalist who has spent her career focusing on educational issues and policy reforms. With a degree in Education and nearly 11 years of journalistic experience, her work has highlighted the challenges and successes of education systems around the world. Her thoughtful analyses and empathetic approach to storytelling have garnered her numerous awards, allowing her to become a key voice in educational journalism.

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