The GHACOF 69 report indicates an increased likelihood of warmer-than-normal conditions in the IGAD region from March to May 2025, with ongoing extreme temperatures observed in South Sudan and surrounding areas. Weekly forecasts suggest a growing risk of negative impacts on health and economic activities due to these anomalies.
The 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) highlighted an increased likelihood of warmer-than-normal conditions for the IGAD region from March to May 2025. It was underscored that updates on sub-seasonal forecasts are crucial due to the frequent emergence of climate hazards during this period.
Weekly forecasts from February indicated persistent temperature anomalies that are warmer than usual, raising concerns about extreme temperature hazards in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). An analysis from February revealed that South Sudan, Uganda, and northern and western Kenya were significantly affected by these extreme temperatures.
Specifically, average daily maximum temperatures from February 1-28 showed many areas in South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia exceeded 38°C. Additionally, temperatures reached 40°C in parts of South Sudan and Kenya, heightening the risk of adverse effects on human health, livestock, and economic activities in these regions.
The March-May 2025 seasonal forecast predicts warmer-than-normal conditions in the IGAD region, supported by weekly temperature anomalies indicating extreme temperatures across the Greater Horn of Africa. The data reveals alarming temperature records in South Sudan, Kenya, and surrounding areas, posing significant risks to human populations and economic well-being. Continuous monitoring and updates on climate forecasts are essential for mitigating these hazards.
Original Source: reliefweb.int
