The Cultural and Area Studies panel on February 6, 2025, examined Iran’s status amidst the Axis of Resistance, debating whether it represents a declining power or an evolving threat. Key highlights included recent setbacks for Iranian-backed entities, the complex historical context of U.S.-Iran relations, and the internal divide between the Iranian regime and its people, affecting future dynamics.
On February 6, 2025, the Army University’s Command and General Staff College Cultural and Area Studies Office held a panel titled “Iran and the Axis of Resistance: Declining Power or Evolving Threat?” The discussion highlighted the ongoing crisis faced by the Axis of Resistance—a coalition of Iranian-backed militias and political organizations. Panelists, including Dr. Mahir J. Ibrahimov and CGSC faculty, explored the cultural, economic, and political elements impacting Iran’s regional influence and relations with the West.
Mark J. Bosse, Chair of Diplomacy Studies at CGSC, noted the recent setbacks for Iran and its affiliated groups, particularly following the October 7 attacks by Hamas which aimed to ignite a broader regional conflict. Contrary to expectations, the conflict did not activate the entire ‘Axis of Resistance’, which has suffered significant losses, including leadership casualties in both Hamas and Hezbollah. New leaders in Lebanon and Syria have signaled a reduced alignment with Iran’s influence.
Houthi fighters, previously engaged in attacks aimed at establishing a Palestinian state, have also ceased their operations in the Red Sea. Bosse elaborated on Iran’s historical resilience in adapting to crises, emphasizing its ability to sway public opinion through cultural influence and political messaging, especially in changing perspectives within countries like Oman since the recent events.
Dr. Tirdad Daei, a CGSC Senior Instructional Specialist, provided historical context on U.S.-Iran relations dating back to early interactions in 1833 and periods of hostility, notably after the 1953 coup supported by the U.S. The Iranian hostage crisis and subsequent U.S. decisions, including support for Iraq during the Iran-Iraq War, have shaped contentious relations. Despite the regime’s oppressive actions, Daei highlighted that the Iranian populace continues to admire American values, demonstrating a complex dichotomy within Iran.
Gary Hobin, Assistant Professor at CGSC, characterized the Axis of Resistance as a network of semi-autonomous militias each pursuing their own interests, only cooperating when these interests converge. He noted the critical loss of the Syrian segment in this network as Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) assumed control, resulting in a weakened collective influence of the Axis.
The panel concluded with an interactive Q&A, delving deeper into issues regarding Syria and Türkiye, underscoring that this event is part of a broader seminar series by CASO and CGSC. The series aims to address significant strategic concerns and enhance understanding through insights shared live on platforms such as Facebook and YouTube.
The cultural and area studies panel underscored the complexity of Iran’s current position within the Axis of Resistance, reflecting on its declining influence amid significant setbacks. Experts emphasized Iran’s historical adaptability and the intricate dynamics influencing its relationships with allied militias and the West. The ongoing disconnection between the Iranian populace and their government introduces new challenges and opportunities for future U.S. engagement with Iran.
Original Source: www.dvidshub.net
