Professor Ibbo Mandaza led an online dialogue discussing Zimbabwe’s political crisis centered on internal Zanu PF power struggles and the push for President Mnangagwa’s term extension. While support for Vice President Chiwenga grows, widespread public opposition to the extension raises tensions within the political landscape, reminiscent of past conflicts. The potential for violence remains a significant concern for Zimbabweans.
On Thursday, Professor Ibbo Mandaza, Director of the Southern African Political and Economic Series (SAPES), facilitated an online policy dialogue addressing the political crisis in Zimbabwe. The discussion notably focused on the internal conflicts within the ruling Zanu PF party, along with a faction’s effort to amend the constitution to extend President Emerson Mnangagwa’s term to 2030.
The 20-30 Movement within Zanu PF is advocating for a constitutional change to prolong Mnangagwa’s presidency. Opposition leaders have rallied in support of Vice President Constantino Chiwenga as a counterforce to this initiative. While Chiwenga garners substantial backing from war veterans, analysts contend he must cultivate wider support to effectively challenge the push for an extension.
Mandaza expressed concerns over the heightened anxiety among Zimbabweans, fearing that the political schism could erupt into violence. He drew parallels to the 2017 coup that ousted Robert Mugabe, warning that the current tensions could result in severe conflict, especially given that the Mnangagwa faction appears unwilling to voluntarily relinquish control.
Although Mnangagwa has publicly pledged not to seek a third term, observers believe his actions contradict these assurances. Mandaza posits that Mnangagwa is pursuing a life presidency, partaking in a troubling trend among African leaders who endeavor to retain power indefinitely, reminiscent of historical patterns of autocracy.
The push for Mnangagwa’s extended rule is bolstered by political and economic alliances that benefit from his governance. A crucial element supporting his authority is military backing, which significantly influences the country’s political dynamics. With war veterans opposed to the 20-30 Movement, questions arise regarding the loyalty shifts within Zimbabwe’s military and security forces.
Surveys indicate significant public opposition to the proposed extension of Mnangagwa’s term. According to a survey by the Central Intelligence Organisation, 82% of respondents opposed the extension, rising to 94% in a subsequent survey. Despite this general dissent, Mandaza predicts that the 20-30 Movement will persist in its pursuit of an extension, possibly leading to a critical confrontation.
The political landscape in Zimbabwe is currently fraught with tension due to internal divisions within the Zanu PF party, particularly relating to leadership and power retention. President Emerson Mnangagwa’s faction faces opposition from within, as factions push either for constitutional amendments for term extension or to challenge this move. This context is significant given Zimbabwe’s history of political upheaval and violence, particularly following the 2017 coup.
In conclusion, Zimbabwe is navigating a precarious political environment marked by factional struggles within Zanu PF over President Mnangagwa’s term limits. Despite widespread public opposition to extending his presidency, the presence of military backing and strategic political interests suggests a complex battle ahead. The potential for renewed conflict looms as factions prepare for a possible showdown.
Original Source: www.channelafrica.co.za
